The Ashes 2009 - England v Australia
As I predicted it ended up in a draw, but only just ! England held on heroically yesterday, and surely no one fancied Panesar and Anderson to see us through, but they did and a very hard earned draw was won.
I was also correct in predicting a bit of a run fest, and with our 2 points on Cardiff being top scoring ground out of the five matches, I reckon we've got off to a good start with 1361 runs scored, and all we'll have to do now to collect on that is do a rain dance !!
It was a shame that England started badly on Wednesday as the big bet on opening partnership went west, and Strauss hardly covered himself in glory in either innings for a big knock, but we've still got 4 tests to go on that one.
Ok onto Lords on Thursday, and onto a knocking great bet.
Even though you could say that England will go into this test with the momentum of securing a "winning draw", it is surely the aussies who will go here thinking they have to improve very little to get a win.
The fact that they got just as many runs as England did in 2 innings, but did so with losing 13 wickets less must be a huge part of Pontings team talk come Thursday morning, as must Englands inability with the ball.
Everyone said it would be a spinner's wicket, and that is the sole reason that Panesar started with Swann, but their lack of wickets must surely be a big worry for the selectors, and you can bet your bottom dollar they both won't be starting at Lords.
This must be a big bet on the aussies at Lords for all of the above reasons, but maybe more so is a stat. And this stat is amazing. Since 1934 Australia have never lost a test match at Lords ! Quite why and how this is the case I don't know, some say that it is because every aussie lifts their game when they play at the "home of cricket", and that they try an extra 25% harder.
Whatever the reason I reckon the aussies should win this one and the DNB is the safest bet to lump on.
















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