WTA - A. Pavlyuchenkova v Garbin

Ive been pondering this one for a little while and finally thought 'what the hell, im going for it' Is Garbin that far behind Pavlyuchenkova that she should be 5.50 to win this in straight sets??? well im not so sure she is.

31 year old Garbin has a wealth of experience at 'slam' events and in the past 4 Australian Opens has made it beyond the 1st round on 3 occasions. Ok her game is better suited to clay, but with a decent serve and return game she isnt without chances here. She has made a decent start to the season with wins over Arvidsson and Kleybonova in Brisbane before falling to Bartoli in the Quarters. She was beaten by Czink in Hobart but Czink is a player i like the look of and believe is better than her 100 ranking.

There is no doubting that young Pavlyuchenkova is a player to keep an eye on in the future, She looks a fine talent. This is her 1st Australian Open but that shouldnt be a problem as she coped well in the other 3 slams. A R16 defeat against an improving Rezai in Auckland was followed by a Quarter final in Hobart where she lost to eventual winner Kvitova. Both her defeats were against players i like but if she is to make it big time she should be beating these players.

I can see why Pavlyuchenkova is favourite for this match but looks very skinny at below 1.40 with some firms and a best price of under 1.50 is still too short for me to back her. Im going with Garbin here the 5.50 on a 2-0 win is decent enough and im hoping Garbins experience can see her home. 3.0 on the outright is still a tempting bet too.

Pick : Garbin to win 2-0
Odds : 5.50
Stake : 5 / 10
Bookmaker : BlueSQ
Match Result : 1-2
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