ATP - Viktor Troicki v Ivan Ljubicic

I don't understand such odds, even if they drop extremely since yesterday. Troicki made huge improvement in his game since their last meeting where he won 2:1 and Ljubicic is seems to fall apart of his golden years. Loses to Oussanna or Grannollers show that, and against players like Melzer or Hanescu who are on quite similar level like Troicki Ivan was losing clearly in last weeks. Here in Paris he beat Canas who is out of form also in this season and honestly 1:2 and unstable game for Ivan don't convince me. Ljubicic is having very weak season and probably it isn't the matter of weak form but the matter that his career is going to the end, he is a kind of player that achieved his big success on court few years ago and now he will pass out like other serve-based gamers like Karlovic, and many others. Troicki is young, developing player that just had breakthrough season. Great performances on hard and I think in coming months he will achieve more and more. In last weeks he was losing only to really decent players, besides Moscow tour where he lost in very controversial way against Zverev (he had big leading in final set and still lost - mysterious, don't you think?). Still I think his form is high enough to out stand old Ljuba. He was able to beat Ljubicic 4 months ago on grass, and now he made hige step in his game and on hard he is even more dangerous player. I think this is a big value and if Troicki will play on his level in tours where he was reaching finals this result is very probable.

Pick : Troicki to win 2:0 in sets.
Odds : 3.00
Stake : 9 / 10
Bookmaker : Expekt
Match Result : 0-2
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