MLB - Minnesota Twins v Kansas City Royals

KANSAS CITY (61 - 82) at MINNESOTA (79 - 65) Wednesday, 9/10/2008 8:10 PM KYLE DAVIES (R) vs. KEVIN SLOWEY (R)

The Twins have to be very happy with their win yesterday, because not only they finished a losing streak of 2 home defeats, but also in just one day, they saw the White Sox losing twice and so, they will very close from the lead on the AL Central.

Today the Twins will send Kevin Slowey, who comes from a rare defeat on his last outing against the Blue Jays. Slowey allowed 3 runs and 10 hits in 5 innings, while the Twins lost by 0-9 in that game. I believe that game was just an accident, as Slowey has been extremely solid lately. Just look at his number of runs allowed on his 5 outings before that game: 2-2-2-1-1. The Twins are 6-1 on Slowey’s last 7 home starts and today I expect him to bounce back.

On the other side, the Royals will send Kyle Davies, who after 4 consecutive non-quality starts, where he allowed 6-4-3-3 runs, comes now from a win on his last outing against the A’s, where he allowed 1 run and 3 hits in 5 innings. However a deep look on that game allows us to see that he wasn’t as impressive as at first sight it may seem, as his P/IP ratio wasn’t impressive at all: 20.2! So, in just 5 innings, Davies threw 101 pitches! An extremely high count for just 5 innings. This can be dramatic for him if his opponents are a good team when they have the bases loaded and the Twins are clearly one of those teams.

The Twins have a good chance to build some momentum, as Slowey is a tough guy in bounce back mode and he is 2-0 against Kansas with an ERA of 1.23 and 0.886 WHIP this season and given the fact that KC is just 1-8 in their last 9 road games and Davies hasn’t been impressive at all lately, I expect a good win for the Twins today. Take them on the runline today.

Pick : RL -1.5
Odds : 1.86
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Pinnacle
Match Result : 7-1
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.andregomes.com

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