WTA - Serena Williams v Jelena Jankovic

Womens US Open Final

Ive got 2 bets i quite like the look of for this match, im sure if i split my stake to 5 on each the 'Mods' will let me get away with it.....wont you boys!!?? But if you wont, i'll keep this one please.

Paddypower are offering odds on 'most double faults' including the tie in the final. Serena is priced at 2.50 and JJ 1.83, this does seem about right i suppose, afterall getting to the final JJ has DF'd 25 times and Serena just 14 times. If we try to break this down a little though we can see that in the QF and SF Serena served 10 DFs 5 in each match, whereas JJ just the 4 times. The reason JJ has so many simple comes down to her 2nd and 3rd round matches where she managed 17 in total, take out them and is a fairly even contest.

Im watching the Nadal/Murray match and they mentioned that the wind is blustery here although its a little difficult to tell just how much from my sofa!!! Serena isnt a huge fan of the wind and it could just effect her serve a little bit, JJ will know that if her 1st serve fails tonight her 2nd serve could be serverely punished by Serena so could well decide to take a little bit of pace off her 1st serve. If this is the case then the 2.50 on Serena 'most double faults' looks a decent enough bet.



Pick : Williams most double faults
Odds : 2.50
Stake : 5 / 10
Bookmaker : Paddy Power
Match Result : 3-4
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