ATP - Tsonga v Carlos Moya
29 August 2008

I won't say that this is pick of the day, but I can see some value in this pick. Jo-Wilfried Tsonga is back on court and I hope knee problems won't catch him again. Nig French-man didn't played for a while and here's a big risk because I'm betting this only on base of watching his match against Ventura in first round. We all know big French-man style. His tennis is very effective and crowd love him, but in spite of other players that play effective his magic hits many time hit the court which amazed everyone especially at Australian Open where he reached final. Of course terrible surgery for sure lowed his form but I believe after seeing him that he is able to go through today's opponent. Against Ventura he won 3:1. In first set Ventura quickly break him in early games and had a leading of 4-2. Tsonga was looking quite sleepy, but point after point he started to get flashes of game like we used to see before his injury. He manage to get 6-6 result and lost the tie-break, but Ventura was playing great and he is a experts in tie-breaks because he didn't lost a tie-break in this season and won 7. Few wrong decisions with volley direction buried this tie-break. After that Tsonga started to control the game and didn't gave too much chances to Spaniard. In final set Ventura didn't survive game speed and gave up easily. But still I think Tsonga isn't totally new and he prepared some form for this Grand Slam. French-man is a kind of player that from match to match in every tour is starting to play better, faster, harder, and his confidence is growing. I expect he will play even better today against Moya, who maybe is a harder opponent that Ventura but still I rate him in Jo-Wilfried range. Carlos Moya best times passed and let's face it. I have big respect to this player but in my opinion he should end his career few month ago. In last few months he noticed only two good performances in Hamburg and not long time ago in Cincinnati. He beat Tipsarevic, but according to Serbian informations Janko was playing injured. He beat Davydenko, I won't write some spy stories, but we all know that Nikolay from time to time is losing matches where he is a favourite. He bite a set from later title claimer Murray and that means that he is still a classy player but also I still remember his match against Haas, where he struggled so badly, so many errors and such weak second serve. In Los Angeles loss to Amer Delic who shouldn't be a threat for him after good time in Cincinnati. Here in US Open I really didn't like his game against Quereshi. Quereshi a player who can be any threat only on grass in my opinion. And still Carloss lost a set, had to win one in tie-break and who would know how it could end if Quereshi would poses better stamina. If Carlos won't present good 2'nd serve Tsonga will punish him. The better will win but I can see value in betting on Tsonga.

Pick :
Tsonga to win 3:0 in sets.

Odds :
5.50

Stake :
8 / 10

Bookmaker :
William Hill

Match Result :
3-1

Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor:
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Tip Viewed 372 times. Posted on 15:57:31 GMT+2 Friday 29 August
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