Tippeligaen - Valerengen Oslo v Fredrikstad
This is kind of a hatematch and also a top-match.
There are many teams that have hoped to stay in the battle for a top 3 possition, and currently Fredrikstad have made the best affort, and are currently nr 1, but there are not many points to lose before they are nr 6. From 1th to 10th there are only 10 points in between. We have Fredrikstad, Stabæk, Rosenborg, Brann, Vålerenga, Viking, Lyn and Tromsø who are all more than capable for challanging a medal, even the gold, but for Vålerenga, this is a most-win-situasion. They are 7 points behind, and losing this match would mean 10 points behind, but a victory will send them only 4 behind and still in the gold game.
First take a look at the guests, Fredrikstad:
Fredrikstad is the best hometeam in tippeligaen, standings;
1. Fredrikstad 7 0 1 18:6 21
But when it comes to leaving Fredrikstad;
8. Fredrikstad 2 2 3 7:12 8
To being the leading team this is a weak away-statestic. More losses than victories. And have scored less than one per game.
30/07-08 NM Fredrikstad vs. Løv-Ham 5:2
26/07-08 Tippeligaen Fredrikstad vs. Brann 1:0
21/07-08 Tippeligaen Stabæk vs. Fredrikstad 5:1
13/07-08 Tippeligaen Fredrikstad vs. Lillestrøm 4:0
07/07-08 Tippeligaen Viking vs. Fredrikstad 1:1
03/07-08 NM Ull/Kisa vs. Fredrikstad 0:1
30/06-08 Tippeligaen Fredrikstad vs. Vålerenga 2:1
Then the hosts, Vålerenga;
Overall; Vålerenga 6 3 6 19:19 21
Home; Vålerenga 3 3 1 8:4 12
Away; Vålerenga 3 0 5 11:15 9
As I've seen and we can tell from the statestics, Vålerenga play much better at home, specially in defence, but have been unlucky and gotton some draws who should have been victories. They have only conceeded 4 in 7 matches home matches, but it doesn't make it any better when they have only scored 8. Here are the last matches at Ullevål:
08/07-08 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Tromsø 0:0
06/07-08 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Stabæk 2:1
05/06-08 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Ham-Kam 3:0
25/05-08 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Bodø/Glimt 0:0
The last draw against Tromsø was after a heavy scedule after playing the cup, and also the second match against Tromsø that weak, but Vålerenga was really close winning that one. But the round before that they humiliated top team Stabæk, so they are playing great at home, so I believe Fredrikstad will have trouble playing Vålerenga.
Last 4 meetings between them in tippeligaen;
24/09-07 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Fredrikstad 2:0
10/09-06 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Fredrikstad 5:1
16/05-05 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Fredrikstad 0:0
08/08-04 Tippeligaen Vålerenga vs. Fredrikstad 3:0
Fredrikstad havn't scored to much at Ullevål the last years.
Fredrikstad are not supposed to be 1th in Tippeligaen, and after this match Stabæk will take back the tup possition in Tippeligaen.
I believe Vålerenga just are playing better and better, and now facing awayweak Fredrikstad will give Vålerenga a great uppertunity for an important 3pointer, but another, maybe more playable bet would be a halftime draw. Since Vålerenga usually waits until second half by starting to play great football.
Good Luck































