Tour De France - Stage Winner vs Stage Winner Cycling betting preview

Stage 14 of the Tour De France.

This stage goes from Nimes to Dige Les Bains and is 194,5 KM long. This stage 14 is less flat that stage 13 from yesterday, but is still concidered as a flat stage. There are 2 climbs from the 4th catagory. The last climb is about 15-20 KM before the finish, but the finish is a flat one. I know what ya all thinking out there, when someone sees the odds this ridiculous high most of the people don't take it serious. But this bet is difirent to me, Cavendish is the number 1 sprinter out there, let there be no doubt about that after he won his 4th stage yesterday!!! Todays stage is the last ''flat'' stage before the mountain stages come up again. So the last chance for the sprinters to win something before Paris. Freire is in the lead with his green jersey, so Team Rabobank will help Freire if theres a break away from someone who could be dangarous for him. Team Milram of Zabel also did lots of work the last couple of stages, and Team Credit Agricole willing to do work for Hushovd. If everything goes acording to ''plan'' , there will be a break away of a group of about 4-9 riders somewhere on 1/5 in the stage, this group will hold until about 10-20 KM before the finish, and we will see the same sort of finish we have seen the last couple of days. The problem is, can Cavendish get over the catagory 4 mountains with not too much problems? I think he might do that, he will get help from his strong team around him and they will escort him to the final 1000 meters and let him do what he does best....

Freire is favourite this stage with the best odds being 10 for him to win.Others that are ranked above Cavendish the win the stage are Hushovd (17), Pozzato (15), Zabel (21).

Ok, so Cavendish is not the favourite to win stage 14, but what about the others I mentioned? Freire wants to hold on to his green jersey, he wont take too much risk for that, no need to as he is enough points clear of the ones like Hushoved,Cavendish,Zabel and Hunter. And he didn't show that he is very good in the sprints this tour, he just finishes within the top 5 every flat stage. Hushovd, He won one stage, but that was about it, in the stages where Cavendish won (remember 4 in total!) Hushovd had NO chance what so ever. Maybe he will win in Paris, but not today. Pozzato? don't think so, he might have a chance if there will be no sprint and hes in the break away group. But as I told, I think it will be another mass sprint before the mountain stages begin. Zabel? NO! He did better than everyone expected, even surprised me. He finished every flat stage in the top 5 or so, he even finshed 2nd in a stage this tour, but hes too old. He will finish in the top 5 again today if it will be a mass sprint... That leaves us with Hunter and McEwen, Hunter simply not good enough to win if riders like the above mentioned are in the race. And McEwen showed some improvement yesterday, but...he wasn't even on the photo! The odds for Cavendish to win yesterday's stage were about 4-5.....and dropped to under 2 when it was clear that it would be a mass sprint!

Just to give you an impression of the odds being 26!!! Coral have Cavendish at 3.50...Sky Bet 7.00 and Bet 365 8.00. Cavendish already won 4 stages, why not 1 more Im asking myself. Its FAR from impossible...if I remember correctly from those 4 wins, at least 3 of them were won by a length or more! HIGHLY unusual for mass sprints in The Tour De France. I expect the odds to drop before that start, thats also why Im so surprised about bookies offering 26 for a bet like this. Well.....Everyone enjoy stage 14, and when it comes to a mass sprint.....$$$ GOOD LUCK ;-)

Pick : Marc Cavendish
Odds : 26.00
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Paddy Power
Match Result :
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: