Brasileiro Serie A - Botafogo v Ipatinga
Botafogo stand on 15th spot, far away from their performances from previous season, when they would destroy anyone at home, especially in the first part of it. Now they have a 3-1-1 record with a 7-3 GD. Their last 2 matches have shown some problems in their defense, as they conceded 5 against surprise Vitoria, and in the last match at home 2 against poor Santos at the moment. Nevertheless, tonight i believe they can score twice against the second worst defense of Brazilian Serie A.
Ipatinga are at the bottom of the table, with 7 points from 11 matches. Their record away is 0-2-3 with a 6-14 GD. They've had some goal abundant matches against Santos, Mineiro and vasco, and two 1-1 draws against more defensive Goias and Sao Paolo. They have an overall 4 goals/match average away from home, and against Botafogo, i can see another "goalish" match.
In 2006, the teams met twice in Copa de Brazil, and the results were 3-0 and 1-3, but this is not that relevant concerning tonight's match.
I can see tonight a result like 2-1, but Ipatinga are a team that can surprise, like they did against Cruzeiro or Vitoria at home. So i am taking the over 2.5 goals here, as i believe it is a bit safer than the simple home win. Good luck.
































