Tour De France - Special Market v Special Market

This is looks to me one of the most solid bets avaiable in the market.

The Polka Dot Jersey, the mountains classification, is always one of the most interesting fights of the Tour de France. Getting the Mountains classification, and winning one of the most important prizes of the competition, is an excellent option for good climbers that can't handle the effort of three weeks or have the all-around qualities to win the Tour.

Great examples are Santiago Botero, that won twice this competition, and was not a cyclist which regularity was evident during the Tour - in fact, he is famous for his usual "bad day". Rasmussen or Virenque are two good examples of cyclists that, because of lack of quality in time-trial (even that Virenque in his first years was different), couldn't fight for a Tour, so they focused in the mountains classification.

The mountains classification will depend of the ability to get in the good breakaways. Sometimes, a cyclist just enter in this fight because of a lonely breakaway.

Anyway, in my opinion, there are three cyclists that are clearly fighting for this one: Maxime Monfort, Luis Sanchez and David de La Fuente. The three already attacked in the first 2nd cat. mountains and today attacked in the Peyresoude.

I think De La Fuente is the most solid choice. First, he is already the leader of the mountains, he has 61 points, which is almost 1/3 of what he need to win this. Sanchez has 31.

The bookies point Riccò has the favourite or Piepoli. I couldn't disagree more on this. Before the Tour, maybe they were the favourites, but don't forget De La fuente, Piepoli and Riccò are of the same team. De La Fuente has been fighting for all the miserable points possible, going in many breakaways. It's unthinkable that Saunier is making a cyclist getting through a enormous effort to win points, just to be passed by other cyclists.

De La Fuente was 3rd in this competition in 2006, behind Landis (...) and Rasmussen. In that year, De La Fuente prooved that he could fight for this, even that he couldn't handle a Rasmussen. This year, the other climbers are not better than him. De La Fuente is very agressive, a true fighter, completly focus on this. He already prooved his quality. Saunier won't, for sure, get de la fuente attacking in every single mountain and then put him in the closet. Also, he is spanish, Saunier is spanish (Piepoli and Riccò are not) and that markting of a spanish winning a moutains classification is important.

Great bet in my opinion, not a 10/10 because crashes happen, diseases may appear but, in 10 TDF like this one, De La Fuente wins the Mountain Jersey 9 times.

Pick : David de la Fuente to win Polka Dot Jersey
Odds : 4.33
Stake : 9 / 10
Bookmaker : Paddy Power
Match Result : 2nd before team pulled out.
Tipster Personal Link/Sponsor: http://www.betnews.co.nr/

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