ATP - David Ferrer v Stanislas Wawrinka

I've thought this match all over and can't understand the odds. Then there's Stanislas Wawrinka playing what makes me to keep staking at some limits because ha has the ability to screw the matches in the end but I'd use the same staking to anything above 3.30. Maby the odds are partly because Ferrer is 10-1 on the clay this season losing only for Rafael Nadal and playing at home. But then Ferrer is playing his 12th match in 19 days on the clay. On the surface where moving needs more work than on the other surfaces. That's much. Yesterday he won Tommy Robredo but Robredo was playing his 10th match in 18 days what makes me to think there was two tired men on the court. Ferrer's match against Lapentti told about his tiredness and his bodylanguage against Robredo wasn't the best him throwing his racquet after Robredo broke him back in the first set Ferrer being serving for the set. Ferrer received a warning from his trick.

Then Wawrinka. He had a long match against Albert Montanes, after the easy start it seemed like Wawrinka cruises to the easy win but didn't happen. A bit complicated result after his easy win against David Nalbandian. Anyway this is the tournament what's one of the best for Wawrinka if we believe what he says: “For me, the Godó is one of the best tournaments in the world, it's one of my favourites and I love coming to Barcelona to play here. I enjoy myself and the results here have been good for me, so I hope it continues that way.” Wawrinka at Barcelona 15-3 when Ferrer is 9-6. Though Ferrer is 6-1 during his last two years losing 2006 for Wawrinka. Their head-to-head is 2-2 without recent meetings. In a match-up mind Wawrinka has a great chance to use his natural game against Ferrer but then Wawrinka gets easily to errors if his opponent can give the ball back as Ferrer does but at this point I expect the tiredness might get into Ferrer. It's a big difference when players meeting who are in form but other is playing his 12th match in 19 days when other is 5/13 (5/19 too). As said, can't understand the odds.

Pick : Stanislas Wawrinka
Odds : 4.00
Stake : 6 / 10
Bookmaker : Bwin
Match Result : 2-0
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