Big big game for Lille here, as Lyon and Nice play against each other this weekend and if Nice manage to win their match and in the same time Lille snatch all the points against the ex champions, than the three points will be even on third place with 63 points each and the goal difference will play, as right now Lyon have two goals advantage over Lille, but if the two outcomes above happen, this goal difference will be at least equal or in favor of Lille, just one round before the end of the campaign. There is no question that the visitors will throw everything in this match and will go for the three points, as the draw just won't be enough. Also anything less than a victory can bring them down from the current fourth position, or in other words they can lose even their Europa League place. Still, Lille showed that they have problems in defense recently, conceding three goals from Sochaux and than four from Toulouse in just seven days time and this is why I think the most value in this game has the over. Eleven of the last twelve games for Lille in all competitions ended with over 2.5 goals and having in mind the fact that only the three points suits them, the attacking display from the visitors is without any question.
Montpellier is playing for nothing. The team surely had not imagine such a season, after winning the title in the last campaign, but honestly their potential is not for more than fifth or sixth place max right now, so this is just the painful truth for them. And even so, "Stade de la Mosson" is extremely hard place and it is surely really hard to get three points from there, as in the campaign so far just three teams managed to do that (11-4-3) and this are Lyon, Marseille and Evian. Also Montpellier eleven times in their last fifteen games here (11-2-1), losing only against Lyon in this period, as the winning goal for the visitors came in the injury time. So, despite already playing for nothing, this will be also their last game of the season at this stadium and the players will try and make this evening enjoyable for their fans. Also the last six games for Montpellier in the league ended with over 2.5 goals in them.