Opelka vs Napolitano
The only reason Opelka is not a bigger favorite is his lack of experience. He's still a very young player who during 2015 played Futures and was a junior player. He's facing Napolitano in his first ever attempt at (seniors) Australian Open and I see him taking it in two. His huge serve makes up for any lack of experience on his behaf and he has a lethal forehand that combined with his serve wins him a lot of free points.
Napolitano is very average and shines mostly on Italian clay. He made 6 matches on hardcourt last year and lost 5 of them. I don't see him posing any kind of threat to Opelka. He will win plenty of games as Opelka is not the best returner but in the end he does not have the arsenal to win a tiebreak against a player who in very short will be one of the best servers in the world.
Despite Opelka being two years younger and not having the same amount of professional matches behind him as Napolitano does, I think his skill is far above the Italian's and he will win in two sets.
|Opelka 2-0||BetVictor||2.63||8||2-0 WON (+13.04 units)|