Mornar vs Cibona by FairPlayBet
Two games on today's schedule in the Adriatic Basketball League. This match in Montenegro between Mornar Bar and Cibona Zagreb is one of those.
The home side is ABA debutant. In this their first season, results of Mornar are pretty much expected I would say. They are in bottom half of the league standings or to be more specific, Mornar currently with overall record of 4-10 is the last placed side. But you should have in mind that the league is pretty much tied with quality so some teams from mid-standings have just one win more than Mornar. In any case, compared with their just 28.5 % overall wining ratio, Mornar is pretty successful at home court with 4-3 so far (57%). Still, all of these victories came when they hosted those others league worst sides who are all also on 4 to 5 wins so far. This time Mornar will face Cibona, who although in big financial problems, this season has played very good basketball. Cibona currently with 10-4 overall record is tied from 3rd to 5th position so they are play-off contender. We will see if Cibona is able to hold on with such good results cause most likely they will remain without its best player Ante Žižić. The young center (in Januar will be 20 y.o.) by the latest info already made deal with Turkish Darussafaka. Žižić definitely wont play today in Bar cause he did not travel to Montenegro at all but it is possible we will see him one or couple more times in Cibona jersey in 2017 before he join Darussafaka. His absence is big handicap for Cibona but I still believe the road side is the right bet here. Do not forget with Žižić in roster Cibona would probably be 4 points favorite here while now we have +3.5 on Cibona. It is correct that Žižić by the stats is by far the best player in the league but even without him, my opinion is Cibona should be in at least 50:50 position today against Mornar Bar. So, Cibona +3.5 from my point of view is valuable bet.
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|Cibona +3.5||Pinnacle||1.93||8||92-57 LOST (-8 units)|