Spain vs Serbia
Spain was disappointing in their first match here in Sweden losing with the hosts by a big margin. I wouldn't read too much in that result, there were way too many technical mistakes congested in a small amount of time (from the 20th minute till the 45th) and the spaniards couldn't really put that behind them afterwards. They have to put behind them that loss because pretty much all their remaining matches at this Euro are must win games if they want to reach the semis. That's not by any means an impossible task for a strong team like Spain, and they start with the weakest adversary of the lot (barring Slovenia) Serbia. Serbia has here an young team, with some talented players, but without the "stars" that led the team 'till the final of the Worlds a couple of years ago (Tomasevic, Cvijic, Lekic, Damnjanovic) they are a dark horse at best. They received 34 goals from a weak side like Slovenia and that doesn't bode well for Liscevic&Co. against a team that is eager to erase the bad impression left sunday. Between these two teams there is quite a healthy quality gap, the spread line has been lowered excessively in my opinion by sunday's results, so I'm very confident in a win for the spaniards by at least 6 goals.
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|ESP -5.5||Unibet||2.80||8||23-25 LOST (-8 units)|